Research: Even if warming is kept below 1.5°C, wildfires will significantly reduce the amount of carbon absorbed by land.

One of the objectives of the Paris Agreement was to “continue our efforts” to keep global warming below 1.5°C, but even this ambitious goal will continue to grow as wildfires become more intense and frequent. Britain and the government say there will be no way to stop the decline. Brazilian scientist. They said the climate simulations used to determine Paris’s 1.5C target lacked information on fire and vegetation, so they ran a simulation that included that data.

They found that the global warming level at which fires began to affect the land’s ability to absorb carbon was 1.07 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, and that fires were already playing a major role in inhibiting that ability. The findings will be published in the journal Nature Geoscience.

They estimate that if we want to limit warming to 1.5°C, introducing fire could reduce the remaining carbon budget by 5%, or 25 gigatonnes of CO2, and keep it below 2°C. They say it remains essential to limit warming to 1.5°C to avoid the worst of climate change, but in many cases significant disruptions have already occurred to the planet’s ecosystems.