A struggling man may undermine the prospects of non-university women’s marriage

According to new stories in academia and media, university-educated women face an increasingly challenging marriage market. Women have graduated men on campus for four years of 1.6 million, so female alumni struggle to find a “marriable” partner, and the story could push down marriage and fertility rates.

But the concerns are misguided and find new research co-authored by Cornell Economist. In fact, researchers found that university women were married at a stable rate for decades, but the proportion of women without degrees fell sharply.

Results published as a working paper for SSRN servers suggest that research and policy should focus more on working class men and women, and scholars say that children are low-income or single He said he is likely to grow in a parent household. Impact on economic opportunities for the next generation.

“Historical data and recent trends across the US show that finding a spouse continues to challenge for non-university women, while lower availability for university students Despite this, the university women continue to marry,” Benjamin said. Goldman, Corner Geb E. Brooks Associates and next faculty member of the Postdoctoral Association of Public Policy and Economics.

“The pool of men historically available to marry non-university women is much worse on a variety of indicators, including revenue.”

The findings are a work form that was just co-authored by Clara Chambers and Goldman, a doctoral fellow at Yale University’s Tobin Economic Policy Center, where she was a doctoral fellow, and “Educational Gender Gap: Educational Gap and Marriage.” “The decline in rates” has been reported. Joseph Winkelman, a doctoral candidate in economics at Harvard University. The team submitted a summary of the research with the American Institute of Boys and Men (AIBM).

The gender imbalance in higher education is greater in the opposite direction than in 1972 and in the opposite direction than in the year when the IX title was enacted. Although an increase in the proportion of non-university men compared to non-university women may initially appear to benefit lesser-level women, economists’ analysis showed that this is not the case. .

Reviewing historical data from the Census Bureau’s current census, they investigated the results of women born between 1930 and 1980 at age 45. Marriage rates have been significantly stable among females with a university education, exceeding 70%, but have dropped significantly without a degree. 78.7% to 52.4%.

Scholars say the reason is that university-educated women continued to marry (or not) essentially the same way throughout those 50 years. About half of them married men who had a college education. About a quarter of them “married” through education and became non-university men. And for another quarter he remained unmarried.

“What this means is that the increase in these gender gaps in university attendance is that only one in the rate of women’s marriage at university has a college education, so the rate of women’s marriage at university is that It’s not so big enough to put pressure downwards on the Goldman said. “University-educated women can replace men from non-university pools and marry them.”

Importantly, the researchers determined that these men represent the highest income among men without a university education. This is a group with an average annual revenue of 45 years and is essentially set for over 50 years. The average revenues increased among non-university men who married college women, but fell to about $10,000 of the rest, or $2024, to about $46,000 a year.

The researchers then looked at the results of a recent cohort (born 1978-83) to see whether they followed trends observed over time. Data from the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey and Opportunity Atlas, a collaboration between the Census Bureau and Harvard-based nonprofit opportunity insights, allowed us to compare the US metro areas.

The same pattern is retained, Goldman said that, even worse, the prospect of marriage for non-university women suffered. In areas where non-university men had the most stable economic outcomes (lowest unemployment and incarceration rates) including the education gap in marriage between university and non-university women, 50% smaller than areas where non-university men have the worst economic outcomes.

Data suggest that the education gap in marriage continues to grow, researchers say Americans born in the mid-1990s are in the first cohort of marriage rates for non-university women below 50% He said he was ready to do so. They said efforts to improve the prosperity and well-being of working-class men who have experienced reduced education, employment, income and life expectancy can have a positive ripple effect on non-university women and children. .

“Our research suggests that improving economic opportunities for men without university degrees could significantly increase marriage rates, especially among poor communities and non-university education women. It shows that there is,” the team concluded.

“Doing so will not only benefit the current generation, but will also increase the proportion of children born to two married parents households, and improve the outcomes of children born from low-income mothers. It’s sexual.”